Using on-market data from their software – which considers the combined activity of listings on Rightmove and Zoopla – BriefYourMarket.com has published an update of the troughs and peaks of market activity during the pandemic.
NEW LISTINGS COMING TO MARKET
After bottoming out with a mere 47 new listings coming to market from the 1st to the 17th of April [the exceptionally low volume does not show up on the graph], there have been surges of activity, starting with:
8,329 new properties across a five-day period; 18th to the 23rd April.
1,595 properties on the 28th April.
5,007 properties on the 3rd May; making it the highest peak of activity since lockdown came into effect – when 8,823 properties were listed on the 21st March.
These figures could indicate positive signs of coming market recovery for agents.
PROPERTIES FALLEN THROUGH
March shows the greatest contrast between pre and post-pandemic rates for fallen-through sales, peaking on the 26th March at 3,661 in a day.
From March to April, there were 57% fewer fall throughs – going from 18,101 to 10,265.
This decline corresponds with a reduction in new listings (173,926 compared to 13,825, respectively).
The following spikes from April contributed to half of the overall value for that month:
25th April at 2,275
1st April at 1,675
4th April 1,156
Apart from one anomaly, on the 25th April, activity has started normalising for fallen-through sales.
This can also be seen with withdrawn properties.
PROPERTIES WITHDRAWN
With fewer properties on the market to begin with, only 48,623 were withdrawn in April compared to previous months, where that figure was – on average – 91% higher.
Being midway through May, it is too soon to comment on activity for this month.
SENTIMENT POLL RESULTS
According to a sentiment poll – taken from a sample of BriefYourMarket.com’s Protection & Planning webinar series, with 3,000 participants – 63% of agents have secured new lettings business from landlords since lockdown started.
Respondents were also asked whether they could see virtual services forming part of the ‘new norm’ within property: 65% answered yes, 23% weren’t sure and 12% voted no.
When combined with data analysis for new listings, the overall conclusion is optimistic for agents.
To register for upcoming sessions of BriefYourMarket.com’s Protection & Planning webinar series – in association with Yomdel – and to access a library of recorded episodes, click here.
The heavy impact of Covid-19 on fall-throughs and withdrawals
“…there have been surges of activity, starting with:
8,329 new properties across a five-day period; 18th to the 23rd April.
1,595 properties on the 28th April.
5,007 properties on the 3rd May; making it the highest peak of activity since lockdown came into effect – when 8,823 properties were listed on the 21st March.”
I would be extremely interested to know how these figures were arrived at – as they are ridiculously different to the portals’ stated numbers.
Even the fact that 18-23 April is actually a SIX day period doesn’t make much difference to how far out they appear to be…
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