Rental growth outside London hits an all-time high

Rental growth outside London hit 8% last month, as demand from renters continues to heavily outweigh supply, the latest data Hamptons shows.

The average rent of a newly let property stands at £68 per month higher than it did in February 2020. Across Great Britain, rents rose 5.6%, the fastest rate of growth since February 2015.

But despite the boom elsewhere, rents in London continue to fall.

Across Greater London rents fell 0.2% year-on-year, with the drop driven by falls in Inner London.

Average rents in inner London dropped 17.7% year-on-year, the largest decrease recorded since the onset of the pandemic.

Meanwhile, in Outer London, rents grew 5.3% annually, the sixth consecutive month of growth.

Annual rental growth

Rental growth nationally has been fuelled by a lack of stock – 300,000 fewer properties have come onto the rental market since the onset of the pandemic – March 2020 to February 2021 – which is almost a fifth less than during the preceding 12 months.

Last month, the number of rental homes on the market fell by double-digit percentages in every region apart from London compared with the same time last year. London was the only region where there were more homes available to rent than in February 2020. The South West and Wales saw the largest declines, with 48% fewer homes available to rent in February than the same time last year.

Y-o-Y change in the number of rental homes on the market

The urban-rural divide which first emerged at the start of the pandemic has continued to deepen. There were 16% more homes available to rent in cities across Great Britain in February 2021 than at the same time last year, while towns and country locations recorded falls of 28% and 52% respectively. This divide was also evident in would-be tenant numbers which remained flat in the countryside, while dropping 10% in cities.

The lack of rental homes on the market has meant that so far this year half of landlords letting a property were able to secure a higher rent than they had previously achieved. This is the highest proportion since 2016, with an average increase of £60 per month.

In line with weak rental growth in the capital, fewer London landlords (37%) were able to secure higher rents – marking the lowest proportion recorded in any region. In contrast, 62% of landlords in the South West were able to achieve higher rents on their properties.

Aneisha Beveridge, head of research at Hamptons, said: “This year we’ve seen a sharp decline in the number of rental homes coming onto the market. Would-be tenants are now faced with significantly less choice, which in turn is pushing up rents. And with many landlords having multiple offers on the table, half of investors have been able to increase the rent they charge.

Landlords achieving a higher rent (2021)

“Rental stock levels have also been hit with the onset of the pandemic causing investors to hold back. This has been compounded by emergency legislation which saw landlords having to extend a tenant’s notice period to a minimum of six months, reducing turnover further. At the same time, many renters who were looking to buy had to put their plans on ice and continue renting, as banks sought larger deposits for house purchases.

“However, there are signs that this could change. Over the last five months, and in an effort to beat the original stamp duty deadline of the end of March, landlord purchases started to rise, which will add to stock levels when these homes complete.

“Meanwhile the government announced a new Mortgage Guarantee Scheme in the Budget which is aimed at helping would-be buyers with small deposits, many of whom are currently renting. Both factors, alongside the ending of the eviction ban in April, mean rental stock levels may have bottomed out.”

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