Land deals picked up in Q3

Residential land values recovered across the board as housebuilders returned to the market following a slump in activity during the second quarter of the year owed to the coronavirus pandemic.

Knight Frank’s Q3 Index reveals that private developers in London and well-funded, opportunistic buyers, are particularly active in the market.

Average land values in prime central London rose 4.7% between July and September, meaning the residential development index has returned to levels seen in the first quarter of the year.

Demand for homes outside of the capital has also returned and, accordingly, urban brownfield land values increased 3.8% between July and September, while greenfield values remained stable, ticking up 0.3% on the quarter.

Justin Gaze, head of residential development land at Knight Frank, said: “The increase reflects a marked recovery in the capital’s housing market since the UK emerged from its first national lockdown.”

“The quarterly increase reflects a marked recovery in the capital’s housing market since the UK emerged from its first lockdown, which contributed to a drop in land values earlier this year.”

But on an annual basis, PCL land values were flat in Q3 compared to Q3 2019, while greenfield values fell 6.7% and brownfield values eased downwards by 1.8%.

Prices continue to be supported by a lack of supply in the market, with few sites coming forward due to the current uncertain economic climate and a shortage of allocated sites due to delays in the adoption of local plans.

Gaze added: “Whilst the majority of developers and housebuilders have re-entered the market, they remain selective and focused on sites that drive higher profit margins to reflect the increased economic uncertainty. Most are looking to maintain their balance sheets and preserve cash. For this reason more land deals are being agreed on a conditional basis or with deferred land payments.”

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