Average house prices in England could reach £301,867 in the next decade and hit almost £1m in 20 years if values keep rising at the same rate, an agent has claimed.

However, in one region, the north-east, homes could actually be worth less in 2027 than they are now.

Online agent eMoov has crunched Land Registry data to assess how much it would cost future generations to get on the property ladder if prices generally keep increasing at the same rate over the next ten and 20 years.

If prices rise by 29%, as they have since 2007, the data claims they will reach £301,864, and in London will hit £866,719 on average.

However, the north-east, which has actually seen values drop 4% in the past decade, would see values go from £126,989 to £121,699 over the next ten years using the same formula.

The research found that by 2037, based on house prices rising 320% in the past 20 years, three regions could tip well over the £1m mark, with the average house price across England falling just short at £983,826.

In London, if the market continues to inflate, the average property cost would climb by a further 480%, putting the average house price at an eye-watering £2,792,783.

The south-east could climb to £1,422,708 over two decades if prices increased by another 354%, trailed by the east of England where the average house price would hit £1,311,380 after climbing 371%.

Of course, with Brexit negotiations afoot and plenty of changes still to come in the buy-to-let market, there are plenty of upcoming pressures on prices.

Russell Quirk, chief executive of eMoov, said: “Despite the usual industry speculation, it’s not likely that we’ll see a bursting of the house price bubble any time soon, but perhaps a slight deflation temporarily.

“Should this be the case, this research highlights the near impossible task faced by the next generation of aspirational buyers and acts as a warning to the government should they fail to address the current lack of property available, which is seeing prices once again reach dangerously inflated levels.

“The property boom in several regions of England has made it increasingly more expensive to get on the ladder, and the figures anticipating the next two decades only further attest to the importance of investing in a home as soon as possible if the trend in increasing property values is to persist.

“It is stomach churning to think that should prices continue the way they are, there will be just one real area of property affordability left across England and Wales in 20 years’ time, with the average house price in England approaching the £1m mark and three regions tipping beyond this.”

How does your region fare?

Region

Average House Price (2007)

Average House Price (2017)

% Change (Last 10 Years)

Average House Price (2027)

London

£267,658

£481,648

80%

£866,719

South East

£220,546

£313,334

42%

£445,159

East of England

£194,994

£278,349

43%

£397,335

South West

£197,597

£239,371

21%

£289,976

East Midlands

£151,360

£176,524

17%

£205,870

West Midlands

£144,775

£163,162

13%

£183,883

North West

£142,760

£150,249

5%

£158,131

Wales

£139,760

£146,742

5%

£154,072

North East

£132,508

£126,989

-4%

£121,699

England

£181,824

£234,278

29%

£301,864

 

Region

Average House Price (1997)

Average House Price (2017)

% Change (Last 20 Years)

Average House Price (2037)

London

£83,066

£481,648

480%

£2,792,783

South East

£69,008

£313,334

354%

£1,422,708

East of England

£59,081

£278,349

371%

£1,311,380

South West

£57,751

£239,371

314%

£992,157

East Midlands

£46,775

£176,524

277%

£666,178

West Midlands

£47,536

£163,162

243%

£560,038

North West

£42,353

£150,249

255%

£533,010

Wales

£43,525

£146,742

237%

£494,731

North East

£42,353

£126,989

200%

£380,753

England

£55,789

£234,278

320%

£983,826