This week’s ‘UK Property Market Stats Show’ for week ending Sunday, 16th June 2024 features Steph Walker, boss of the The Agency UK.
The headlines are:
UK House prices remain strong at £350/sq.ft – 3.2% higher than March 2024
Listings – 37k UK listings this week. 5% higher YTD than 2017/18/19/20
Total Gross Sales – 26,455 (24,201 same week in 2023). YTD Gross sales are 8.7% higher than 2023 YTD levels and 7.7% higher than 2017/18/19 levels.
Net Sales – 20,483 this week, 13.5% higher than the same Week in 2023.
Sale fall-throughs remain steady at just over 1 in 5 sales.
Chris’s In-Depth Analysis of the UK Property Market (Week 24) :
New Properties to Market: The UK saw 37,191 new listings. This year’s YTD listings stand at 852,029, 12.1% higher than the historical 8 year YTD average of 759,291, 7.7% higher than YTD 2017/18/19 and 8.7% higher YTD 2023. Weekly 2024 average : 35,501.
Average Listing Price: £454,451 .
Average Asking Price of this week’s Listings vs Average Asking Price of the Properties that Sale Agreed this week: 23.4%. The long-term average is between 16% and 17%. Over valuing in the whole of the UK, higher valuing properties for sale (downsizing) and a lower propensity of London & SE properties to sell causing this.
Price Reductions: Last week, 22,415 properties saw price reductions, a significant number compared to the 8-year Week 24 average of 19,532. This means 1 in 6.61 properties each month are being reduced (Long term average 1 in 9.9 per month)
Average Asking Price for Reduced Properties: £410,769
Gross Sales: 26,455 properties were sold stc last week (2024 weekly average : 24,522 Gross Sales).
Accumulative Gross Sales YTD: The total stands at 588,531, exceeding the average of 549,974 from 17/18/19 and 534,947 in the same week 24 in 2023.
Average Asking Price of Sold STC Properties: Still staying in the mid £360/380k’s range (like has been for 2 years) at £368,143.
Sale Fall Throughs: Fall thrus this week at 5,972. Last 2 months weekly average 5,943.
Sale Fall Through % Rate: Similar to last week at 22.6% for week 24. (Comparison – 22.4% for the last 2 months, whilst the long term 8 years average is 24.8% & it was 40%+ in Q4 2022 – that budget!)
Net Sales – 20,483. 6.9% higher than the 2024 YTD average of 19,153.
Accumulative Net Sales YTD: The total stands at 459,682, 4.8% higher the 17/18/19 YTD Net sales average (438,622) and 11.3% higher than the YTD figure for 2023 for Net Sales.
House Prices for June MTD are £350/sq.ft. For comparison – in May ’24 in £348/sq.ft, April ’24 – £344/sq.ft, March ’24 – £339/sq.ft, Feb ’24 -£339/sq.ft & Jan ’24 to £331/sq.ft).
This week’s local focus is on Amersham.
Sub national market trend we have seen, would be interested if others also have this happening – £1 to 2m family homes (i.e. VAT changes are a material hurt to you) in areas with lots of private schools but poor state catchment for secondary are effectively bidless at the moment.
Bristol (clifton/redland) now has relatively high levels of this sort of inventory, nobody buying, reasonable numbers of prime properties are offered way way (25%) below the few very peak panic 2022 sales on similar – likely a national phenomena but obviously difficult to tell as those markets are relatively niche and split over the country.
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