UK housing market returns to growth with £88bn spent in Q2 2024

Lucian Cook

The UK housing market has returned to growth, according to the latest research from Savills.

Spending on house purchases edged back above £350bn in the year to the end of June – meaning that the size of the UK housing market is now slightly larger than its pre-pandemic average.

A return to growth was fuelled by £88.3bn spent in the second quarter of the year (2024), which represented a +£6.6bn (8%) increase on the same three months last year (Q2 2023).

The jump in spending was fuelled by a 22% increase in the amount of mortgage debt forward by lenders, as stability returned to the mortgage markets.

Total spending by first-time buyers exceeded £21bn in the quarter; a £4.1bn increase on the year (Q2 2023). Overall, first-time buyer activity accounted for 24% of all spending in the market, the highest proportion in eight years.

Meanwhile spending by cash buyers, which accounted for 43% of all spending in the housing market in 2023, fell by around £2bn to 39% of total spend in Q2 2024.

Table 1: Size of the UK Housing Market Q2 2024 v Q2 2023

£m Q2 2024 Q2 2023 Change % Change
First Time Buyer Debt 16,470 12,922 3,547 27%
Home Mover Debt 18,139 15,437 2,702 18%
Buy to Let Debt 2,510 2,012 498 25%
All Debt 37,119 30,372 6,747 22%
First Time Buyer Equity 4,590 4,004 586 15%
Home Mover Equity 10,943 9,818 1,125 11%
Buy to Let Equity 1,121 978 143 15%
Equity on Mortgaged Purchases 16,654 14,799 1,855 13%
Cash buyers 34,534 36,482 (1,949) -5%
Total 88,307 81,653 6,653 8%

Source:  Savills using data from HMRC, ONS, BoE and HMLR

Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills, said: “As interest rates continue to ease, we can expect to see the size of the housing market expand further over the next 12 months. Lower mortgage costs will encourage a wider range of buyers back to the housing market.

“In particular, we should see an increase in upsizers who put plans to trade up the housing market on hold in the face of higher mortgage costs. This cohort is likely to be at the forefront of that growth, although some may wait until after the government’s October budget before taking the leap.”

 

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One Comment

  1. Bless You

    The last month is where iam looking and it’s not looking good…

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