On The Market are now off the market – but what does it mean for Rightmove?

Russell Quirk

Johan Svanstrom may have had a restless night on Wednesday night. As the new CEO of portal giant Rightmove he’s just been made aware that he has a fight on his hands – and will be more than a little concerned about his share options too.

Why? At about 10pm on Wednesday the ever-resourceful Mark Kleinman at Sky News broke the story that OnTheMarket plc was to be sold to CoStar Group for £100m and a share price premium of 30%+.

OnTheMarket is the third placed player in the UK property portal world, not so much a challenger but rather challenged where its competitive history is concerned. The platform that was going to be different – ‘the agents’ portal that would not yield to vested interests of shareholders and investors that in the end yielded to the vested interests of shareholders and investors. And seems to have done so again this week.

In its wake may be some wealthier management team members and founder agent shareholders and investors, but a rank and file of agents that have simply been made to pay more money in recent years for the same questionable leads and bad TV ads. Estate agency socialism this is not, despite it being trumpeted as being so.

But why was Johan rubbing the sleep from his eyes the next morning? And why should the UK property industry care about this deal?

Well, Rightmove has been an unassailable steam train in the property sector having launched in 2000 as Britain’s first ‘PropTech’ business, a collaboration thought up by Countrywide estate agency’s Harry Hill and including a few high value competitors.

Roll forward 23 years and Rightmove is now the stock exchange listed classifieds platform with a market cap of over £4bn. It commands a huge market share of domestic sales and lettings listings and operates at about 74% net profit on an annual revenue of £332 million, a number that grows year on year (up 9% last year). It’s an LSE darling.

Not only is it an LSE darling but it has also been largely unopposed since inception. It had a few light punches thrown at it by the likes of Alex Chesterman’s Zoopla subsequent to his mop up of most of the sector’s competitors a decade or so ago, but even Alex’s Midas touch was unable to steal first place from Rightmove. Still, this second place was ultimately valued at £2.2bn when Silver Lake, the US fund, bought Zoopla in 2018. Not so shabby for what some would call the ‘best loser in the space’.

Interestingly, as the ink was drying on this transaction on the West Coast five years ago speculation was that the might of one of the largest private equity firms in the world would supercharge Zoopla and its CEO Charlie Bryant to overtake Rightmove and to grab that number one spot after all.

Yet since, Charlie and team have been pretty quiet mending the scars of a business that was in effect a Frankenstein of many others having not only smashed together multiple portal platforms to form one bigger one but also having acquired software businesses (PSG) that itself was a mish-mash of multiple competitors. This spaghetti of businesses has taken a while to unravel and so Zoopla (or ZPG as it has been needlessly rebranded to) has been somewhat distracted and, presumably, is being re-organised and gutted ready for Silver Lake to sell on or re-list in order to realise its profit?

But the OnTheMarket deal is different. And this is why today in Milton Keynes will be a tense day for the Rightmove CEO as he considers the CoStar deal. One thing is for sure and that’s the certainty of some agitated board members and shareholders asking some very blunt questions of Johan Svanstrom and his CFO. ‘What does this mean for us?’ and ‘Should we be worried?’

The public answer will be ‘No, we’re bullet proof’. Yet CoStar are a NASDAQ listed business valued at over $33bn and with a long history of acquiring businesses with which to grow. They own Apartments.com, Homes.com, LoopNet and about a dozen or so more property entities acquired since 2012 including Andy Miles’s Realla which they purchased here in 2018.

If CoStar have put £100m into OnTheMarket it’s not a private equity play. It’s not to make it leaner to re-sell it. It’s to make it grow and to dominate the sector.

It remains to be seen whether Jason Tebb, CEO of On The Market, is the person to take the portal to this next stage. He has been a capable pair of hands in re-branding the business as more industry friendly of late. But many will not see him as a ‘growth guy’ and so, as with Andy Miles and many other CoStar acquisitions’ management teams, expect him to exit at some point soon.

When this happens and On The Market is truly grabbed by the scruff of the neck, re-branded away from its ‘Chas and Dave DNA’ and big money is injected into a proper consumer marketing strategy, you may notice the bags under Johan’s eyes becoming bigger and darker by the day.

Incidentally, The Rightmove share price dropped 14.3% yesterday.

 

Rightmove shares tumble but is its property portal dominance now under threat?

 

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5 Comments

  1. JohnnyBanana42

    It’s taken some time, but it’s finally happened. All those screaming we hate RM fees and we back our own portal have won rejoice.

    You’ve now taken a loss on the loan notes, the shares pay back a small amount paid, and Co-star will come and spend £40m+ on growing OTM, because they know you pay £1600+ pm To RM and they want it!

    So we leave RM, OTM becomes the #1 and the fees go there instead of RM, rejoice we toppled the beast and replaced it with another

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  2. Mrlondon52

    OTM will have to do something different and better, not just more marketing and better marketing (though god they need that).
    RM has insane awareness and traffic. It has been innovation-free for years and so desperate to maintain its margins that any products which cannot deliver 70% margins are axed.

    So RM is both a dominant winner via networks effects and complacent.

    I look forward to OTM shaking things up. As a starter for 10, use AI to qualify the leads and then send them to us. That would be interesting.

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    1. FindProperties

      “As a starter for 10, use AI to qualify the leads and then send them to us” – be careful what you wish for! If you have AI qualifying leads, one day you might have AI negotiating deals. And AI conducting virtual viewings. And an AI processing incoming enquiries. And….you can see where I’m going with this.

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  3. scruffy

    Rejoice indeed.
    But surely it’s a little early to suggest the introduction of a true competitor with clout will inevitably lead to one beast replacing another ?
    We shall watch with interest (and hope) that at the very least the exploitative and monopolistic behaviour of RM shall come to an end.
    A proper challenger may be our best hope of getting portal fees and coverage where we want it. Better that than the annual slap we’ve had to endure.

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  4. Taliesin84

    Del Boy ‘outs’ Chaz and Dave. You couldn’t write it but er …. he just has!!

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