New data suggests rental prices and affordability are ‘softening’

Rents across England remained high in September – breaking the £1,400 barrier for the third month in a row – according to the Goodlord Rental Index.

The average price for a rental property in September was £1,417, marginally lower than August’s £1,438, but still up by more than 5% year-on-year.

2024 rents continue to outpace their year-on-year averages, with September prices up by 5.3%. The average cost of a new rental property in England stood at £1,417 in September, up by more than £70 per month compared to September 2023.

Despite being a sizeable increase, this year-on-year figure is slightly smaller than the averages seen throughout the course of the year to date. Over recent months, the Index has regularly recorded annual uplifts of 7% or higher. September’s figure of a comparatively modest 5.3% could provide the first indication seen in many months that prices are starting to soften.

These figures, however, also vary intensely by region with some areas still recording far higher than average year-on-year rental increases. In the South West, for example, average rents are up by a huge 11% compared to September 2023.

The smallest year-on-year increases were seen in the North West and the West Midlands, with rents in each of these areas experiencing a year-on-year rise of 2-3%.

Month-on-month rents continued to hold steady in September, as demand from tenants continued to outstrip supply.

Month-on-month prices dipped slightly on average (down 1.5%, or £21 per month), a trend also seen last September. However, rents stayed above the £1,400 mark for a record-breaking third month in a row, setting a ‘new normal’ for peak season prices.

At a regional level, rents were up slightly in the West Midlands and the South East. And Greater London saw a big uptick in average costs, with prices in the capital up from £2,206 to £2,376 – a significant rise of almost 8% month-on-month.

Voids – the length of time a property remains vacant between tenancies – held steady during September at 15 days. This is unchanged from August.

At a regional level, voids lengthened in the South West (15 to 18 days), the West Midlands (20 to 22 days) and the South East (11 to 12 days).

Voids shortened in Greater London (12 to 10 days), the North East (12 to 10 days), and the North West (18 to 14 days).

After a 3.6% reduction between July and August, the average salary of renters signing tenancies rose by almost 2% in September. This takes average salaries from £36,719 in August to £37,350 in September.

Year-on-year, salaries for tenants taking on a new rental property are now up by 5.55%. This increase means that the year-on-year rise in tenant salaries (5.55%) is higher than the year-on-year increase in rents (5.3%).

William Reeve, CEO of Goodlord, commented: “Rents are behaving fairly normally for this time of year – slightly down compared to August, as is often the case, but still very high. However, when you read between the lines, there are some signs that prices and affordability could be softening.

“Year-on-year figures for rent rises aren’t quite as intense as we’ve seen in recent months, and it was better news for tenants around average salaries. It’s too soon to tell but this could be a sign that the rental cost ‘bull run’ is starting to taper off ahead of the winter.”

Month-on-month rents:

Region

August 2024

September 2024

Month on month % change

East Midlands

1234.032

1130.358

-8.40%

Greater London

2205.671

2375.799

7.71%

North East

1106.582

985.46

-10.95%

North West

1117.079

1102.749

-1.28%

South East

1594.885

1596.475

0.10%

South West

1750.845

1659.393

-5.22%

West Midlands

1055.923

1070.568

1.39%

England

£1,438

£1,417

-1.43%

Year-on-year rents:

Region

September 2023

September 2024

Year on Year % change

East Midlands

£1,076

1130.358

5.09%

Greater London

£2,275

2375.799

4.42%

North East

£939

985.46

4.99%

North West

£1,076

1102.749

2.49%

South East

£1,524

1596.475

4.79%

South West

£1,493

1659.393

11.16%

West Midlands

£1,042

1070.568

2.72%

England

£1,346.28

£1,417

5.27%

Month-on-month voids:

Region

August 2024

September 2024

Month on Month % change

East Midlands

18

18

0.0%

Greater London

12

10

-16.7%

North East

12

10

-16.7%

North West

18

14

-22.2%

South East

11

12

9.1%

South West

15

18

20.0%

West Midlands

20

22

10.0%

England

15

15

0.0%

 

Who are the next generation of landlords?

 

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