UK Property Market Stats Show The Real Facts

Continued doom and gloom in the press about the UK property market continues. The market is dead. It’s a buyers market etc etc. In this week’s UK Property Market Stats Show, we get underneath those headlines and look at what is actually happening in the UK property market. No sentiment… just cold hard facts

We look at the sales, listings & exchanges from new listings and price reductions to sales agreed, fall-thrus and exchanges for week 40 & then ask what those numbers are really telling estate agents about the market they are working in right now.

Joining me on the Stats Show this week is Kristian ‘Stotty’ Stott, and as you might expect, the property market statistics very quickly turn into many hard hitting home truths for estate agents. We get into why Estate Agents overvalue, offer cheap fees & why agents leave price reductions too late & why getting the listing is pointless if the strategy afterwards does not actually help the homeowner move.

In the second part of the show, we head to Warrington and put the local Warrington estate agents under the microscope. Not simply who lists the most homes, but who actually gives homeowners the strongest chance of moving, who achieves the better prices and who appears to be gaining ground locally. If you are an estate agent anywhere in the UK, the way we analyse Warrington might give you a few ideas about how you could prove your own value too.

🟩 Listings

Week 40 ..

33k new listings this week, (34.8k last week).

Weekly 2026 average : 36k.

10 year week 40 average : 33.4k

Year to Date

1.439m new listings YTD, which is …

0.4% below 2025 YTD (1.444m)

1.8% higher of 2024 YTD (1.413m)

9.7% higher of 2023 YTD (1.307m)

9.7% higher than the 2017–19 average YTD (1.311m).

8.7% higher than last decade YTD average – 1.328m.

🟩 UK Gross Resi Sales

Week 40 ..

22.6k homes sold stc this week 40 (23.6k last week)

10 year week 40 average : 24.5k

2026 weekly average : 24.2k.

Year to Date for house sales

966k UK homes sold stc YTD, which is …

7.5% lower than 2025 YTD (1.044m)

2.8% lower to 2024 YTD (994k)

10.9% higher than 2023 YTD (871k)

4.7% higher above pre Covid 2017-19 years (922k).

1.4% lower than the last decade YTD average (980k)

🟩 UK Net Resi Sales YTD

(Net Sales being Gross Sales less Sale Fall Thrus).

Week 40

17.9k Net Sales (17.3k last week)

10 year Week 39 average: 19.2k.

Weekly average for 2026: 18.3k.

Year to Date

745k UK net home sales YTD, which is …

6.3% lower than 2025 (795k),

2.3% lower than 2024 (762k),

14.1% ahead of 2023 (653k)

2.9% above the 2017/18/19 average 724k).

🟩 Exchanges & Withdrawals

• 76.6k Exchanges in Sept 2026

• 63.8k Withdrawals in Sept 2026

(Note these numbers will change as more exchanges/ withdrawals from September come in during the first few weeks of October)

• Therefore, in September 2026, just 54.5% of homes that left agents’ books exchanged & completed in September (the rest – 45.5% withdrew, unsold)

• 57.6% is the 7 year average exchange to listings ratio (which includes the crazy years post lockdown 18 months).

Additional info …

🟥 Price Reductions

• 27.5k reductions this week on 764k UK homes for sale

• 11.1% of UK homes for sale were reduced in August (down from 13.7% in July)

• 2026 YTD average 12.8%, versus the 6 year long term average of 10.9%.

🟥 Price Difference between Asking Price of Listings & Asking Price of those Homes that go Sold stc

• Week 40 – 17.8% difference (long term 10 year average is 16% to 17%). (£428k ave Listing Ave Asking price vs £363k Sale Agreed ave Asking price)

🟥 Sell-Through Rate

• 14.7% of homes on agents’ books went SSTC in September ’26 (compared to 13.3% in August, 14.2% in July ’26 & 13.8% in June ’26).

• Pre-Covid average: 15.5%.

🟥 Sale Fall-Thrus

• Week 40 Fall-thru rate 25.6%

• Decade average: 24.5%

• 5.2% of homes sold STC fell thru in September 2026. Interesting when compared with the 2026 YTD average of 5.1% and 2025 average of 5.3% and the 10 year average of 5.7%.

🟥 Stock Levels

• 764k homes on the market on the 1st of October ’26 (752k on Oct 25, 722k on Oct 24, 662 Oct 23).

🟥 UK Rental Data

• Average Rent in Wk 40 – £1,737 pcm

• Average Rent in MTD October 2026 – £1,737 pcm

• Average Rent in October 2025 – £1,880 pcm (NB this is £133 higher than this year’s average … this is because student rentals in some Uni Cities start at the end of Oct and that will increase the overall for October 2025 by around £50/£60 per month

• Average Rent in October 2021 – £1,432 pcm

• Average Rent in YTD 2026 – £1,763 pcm

• 299k UK Rental Stock available to rent on 1st Oct 26 (295k on 1st Sept 2025)

• New Rental Properties coming onto the market in Sept 2026 – 127k (123k in Sept 2025 & 101k in Sept 2022)

🟥 House Prices (£/sq.ft)

• Sept ’26 agreed sales averaged £338.98 per sq.ft. 0.2% higher than 12 months ago (£338.90) and 13.7% than 5 years ago (£298.25).

The £/sqft at sale agreed matches the HM Land Registry Index with a 98% accuracy, 5 months in advance. That is why it is so important.