Housebuilders predict a rise in building costs this year

With the number of new homes being built across the UK still significantly below the level needed to meet demand, the volume of  housing stock sales and letting agents have to offer is restricted.The failure to construct enough homes means that Britain’s housing shortage has now reached crisis point, with the number of prospective buyers and renters dramatically outweighing the volume of homes on the market.

There is currently an average of 29 buyers for every available property on the market, according to Propertymark.

A chronic shortage of properties will almost certainly drive house prices upwards across the UK in the medium to long term, which will not just have an adverse impact on first-time buyers and second steppers, forcing some out of homeownership, but an insufficient supply of housing stock will also make it harder for residential agents to survive.Housebuilders are often accused of sitting on land with planning consent and not building to help drive up house prices, as well as rents, but their situation is not helped by increasing building costs.

More than 90% of housebuilders surveyed by global property consultancy Knight Frank said they expected the cost of building work on homes in England would be even greater in 2022 than it was last year, with a quarter expecting a ‘significant increase’ in costs.Every quarter, Knight Frank surveys 50 of England’s leading volume and SME housebuilders to gauge their sentiment and views on the market.

Nearly half of respondents to this quarter’s survey said build cost increases last year had already had a ‘significant’ impact on their businesses, while 56% said this was the number one factor adding pressure to their bottom line in Q4 2021.

The survey responses reflected a particular concern over material costs, with 65% saying that the increased cost of materials was driving the overall increase of build costs, while only 8% thought build costs were rising due to labour challenges.

Labour shortages in the UK worsened in the final quarter of 2021, with job vacancies hitting a record high of 1.2 million, more than double their level a year before, the Office for National Statistics said. Construction job vacancies stood at 42,000, slightly down from the peak in Q3 of 48,000 but just over 60% higher than Q4 2019, before the impact of the pandemic and the UK’s exit from the European Union.

Respondents to the survey were divided over whether land prices would increase or not in the first quarter of 2022. A slight majority (48%) said they thought land prices would ‘increase’ this quarter, nearly matched by the 46% who said they thought land prices would ‘decrease’.

Data from Knight Frank’s Q4 Land Index indicates that land prices held steady in the fourth quarter of the year, as house price inflation continued to offset a rise in build costs. However, house price growth is expected to moderate this year and mortgage rates are set to rise, putting more pressure on housebuilder margins.

Justin Gaze, head of residential development land at Knight Frank, said: “Rising build costs are a real concern for housebuilders large and small up and down the country. This will undoubtedly have a knock-on effect on house prices. Housebuilders will look to offset any increase in build costs by increasing prices in a market, which continues to be constrained by a lack of supply. More resources are required in an underfunded planning system if the supply of housing is to increase.”

 

x

Email the story to a friend!



Comments are closed.

Thank you for signing up to our newsletter, we have sent you an email asking you to confirm your subscription. Additionally if you would like to create a free EYE account which allows you to comment on news stories and manage your email subscriptions please enter a password below.