Analytics firm predicts 1.18 million transactions in 2025

TwentyEA is already hailing “exceptional news for estate agents” based on continued growth in supply and demand and its prediction of a total of 1.18m transactions in 2025.

The analytics firm scrutinised the data to find that around 791,000 sales were agreed between January and July 2025 – a rise of 6.8% compared to the same period last year and the highest level since 2022.

HMRC data records 573,000 in the first half of this year (January to June), up 17.1% from 2024 and 5.8% higher than pre-pandemic levels in 2019. Despite negative growth in April and May 2025 – generally expected following the rush to beat the return of the standard stamp duty thresholds – but saw a rebound for the month of June with 4.6% year-on-year growth.

Based on these numbers showing , the firm now forecasts there will be 1.18m transactions for 2025, up 7% from the 1,102,400 purchases recorded in 2024.

TwentyEA graphTwentyEA table

TwentyEA graphThe has been growth across all UK regions except Northern Ireland, with the strongest increases seen in the North West (10.9%), followed by Wales (9.9%). The Midlands and North have generally performed better than London and the South.

This upward trend spans all price bands, with the highest growth in the £350k–£1 million range (9.5%), followed by the £200k–£350k band (8.8%).

In terms of supply, year-on-year growth has continued across all price bands, with the strongest growth at 5.8% between £350k and £1 million properties, closely followed growth of 5.5% in the £200k-£350k price band. The greatest year-on-year growth is seen in Outer London (8%), though the Midlands, the East and the North East have also seen encouraging upticks.

TwentyEA graph

Katy Billany, executive director of TwentyEA said: “Despite the changes to stamp duty bringing a noticeable ‘hangover’ to the market throughout April and May, it bounced back with a spring in its step in June. Momentum has been further boosted by the most recent interest rate cut last Thursday to 4%, and will possibly fall further to 3.75% by the end of the year, injecting a renewed confidence into both buyers and sellers.

“When compared to 2024, 2023, and pre-pandemic 2019, demand volumes have been consistently higher in every single month of 2025 so far. Given this sustained growth, we’re confident 2025 will remain buoyant, with a healthy pipeline of deals for estate agents. We forecast transactions will be in-line with the pre-pandemic year of 2019 to reach 1.18m by the end of 2025 – seven percent higher than in 2024, which is exceptional news for estate agents.”

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One Comment

  1. Anonymous Coward

    I remember the good old days when there were 1.4 to 1.5 million transactions per year…

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