Downsizer enquiries return to pre-pandemic levels

Nick Leeming

Downsizers could free up an estimated £209,215 worth of equity, according to latest research from Jackson-Stops.

The estate agency’s annual research on the ‘downsizer gap’ – the money left over when moving from a detached house to a semi-detached house in England and Wales – has increased by £5,467 since 2022, and £91,622 in a decade.

It is the fourth year in a row that the downsizer gap has increased year-on-year, starting with 2% growth from 2019 to 2020 and peaking in 2020 to 2021 at 14%, with the total growth over that period sitting at 30% and amounting to nearly £1million (£921,461).

Table 1: How the cost of downsizing has changed since 2013

Year (Aug only) Average semi detached price Average detached price Price difference % increase from previous year
2013 £216,879 £334,471 £117,593 n/a
2014 £240,931 £370,540 £129,609 10%
2015 £256,009 £394,284 £138,275 7%
2016 £273,406 £424,073 £150,667 9%
2017 £284,073 £441,044 £156,972 4%
2018 £ 292,977 £453,815 £160,838 2%
2019 £ 292,171 £452,523 £160,352 0%
2020 £301,554 £464,513 £162,959 2%
2021 £328,310 £513,497 £185,187 14%
2022 £363,503 £567,251 £203,748 10%
2023 £364,600 £573,815 £209,215 3%

* Based on monthly house price averages of the latest ONS HPI monthly report, sold data for the latest data release, Aug 2023

Jackson-Stops estimates that UK downsizers aged over 55 are sitting on £2.9trn in property equity. According to its own branch data, the number of downsizer enquiries are now in line with pre-pandemic levels, having increased by 16% last year alone. However, the data does depict a drop off in downsizers registering in 2023, indicative of a slower transactional market as the year closes with higher mortgage rates and election uncertainty.

How the number of downsizers registering with Jackson-Stops’s national network of branches has changed in a decade, indicative of wider trends

Its research also reveals the best regions to downsize in, highlighting areas where movers have the most cash freed up from their move. Excluding London, Elmbridge in Surrey has come out on top for the second year in a row, offering downsizers the largest sum of cash left over this year at £789,795. Principal towns and villages in Elmbridge include Esher, Cobham, Walton-on-Thames, Weybridge and Molesey.

Elmbridge also offers movers the largest proportional difference at 113%, in which detached houses cost more than double semi-detached. This percentage figure has climbed from last years (110%) as whilst average house price values cool across the board, the gap has widened in Elmbridge with a larger drop in semi-detached houses at 4%, versus 2% for detached.

Other top areas highlighted in the research that are ideally placed to give downsizers a large amount of equity leftover include Woking, Buckinghamshire, Tunbridge Wells, and Sevenoaks.  

Top 10 areas that give movers the biggest cash difference when downsizing proportional to values

Rank County Location/District Authority Average of Semi Detached Price Average of Detached Price Price difference Percentage difference
1 Surrey Elmbridge £704,434 £1,503,229 £798,795 113%
2 Surrey Three Rivers £591,654 £1,156,701 £565,047 96%
3 Surrey Woking £526,933 £1,019,404 £492,471 93%
4 Buckinghamshire Buckinghamshire £464,723 £861,641 £396,918 85%
5 Hertfordshire Hertsmere £630,967 £1,168,885 £537,918 85%
6 Hertfordshire Dacorum £544,314 £998,404 £454,090 83%
7 Kent Tunbridge Wells £490,752 £899,697 £408,945 83%
8 Kent Sevenoaks £530,728 £970,063 £439,335 83%
9 Northumberland Northumberland £183,752 £334,577 £150,825 82%
10 Tyne and Wear Sunderland £143,769 £261,153 £117,385 82%

*Removing Scotland and London

** Based on regional monthly house price averages of the latest ONS HPI monthly report, sold data for the latest data release, Aug 2023

Looking at downsizing trends across the decade, moments where movers benefitted the most financially by downsizing were when house prices typically climbed, particularly in 2014 with a 10% proportional incline from downsizing, as well as in 2016 (9%), 2021 (14%) and in 2022 (10%).

How the price difference between a detached and semi-detached home has changed in a decade

Nick Leeming, chairman of Jackson-Stops, said: “Downsizers today are of all ages as a consequence of higher rates of borrowing, where the aspiration to maintain lifestyles, school fees and sunny holidays, as well as wanting to be less wasteful with heating and upkeep, means smaller properties, typically of two and three bedrooms in highly prized locations, have never been so sought after.”

He continued: “It’s interesting to see the downsizer gap shrink this year in line with wider house price trends recorded across the board. This is to be expected as the market shifts from a seller’s advantage to a buyers one, where the froth from early 2022 has certainly dissipated into more normal operating conditions.”

Jackson-Stops highlights the many reasons why some movers have been downsizing, ranging from equity release to support family, to changing lifestyle needs and relocations. The one thing its agents recommend is certainty of the move itself.

Gaynor Cooper, director from Jackson-Stops Sevenoaks, said: “Be sure of where you want to be and feel settled with that decision as if it were your last move. It might not be, but many homeowners who haven’t moved house in over a decade may find the process much more emotionally stressful than perhaps planned for, with extra memories to untangle with. Certainty helps, as well as keeping a list of reasons firmly in your mind as to what the move will now allow you to do, whether that’s cheaper bills, a family holiday, a short commute, and so on.”

Tim Firth, director of Jackson-Stops Weybridge, agrees that planning well can be the secret to a less stressful move.

He commented: “To downsize well in the current climate, you need to get everything ready as if the timeline is imminent, not two months away. Whilst it rarely is this short, I’ve found that many downsizers are offering themselves as cash buyers, meaning their offers are accepted on the grounds of a fast move, without lenders tightening the cogs or rate changes affecting decisions. This is one of the great advantages of downsizing, being able to be flexible, quick, and often therefore the preferred buyer.”

 

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