‘The government’s failure when it comes to housing delivery is clear for all to see’

Despite whisperings of new housebuilding targets being set by the government, historic figures show these are likely to amount to little more than false promises following their failure to hit their previous targets by quite some margin.

Fresh analysis by Sirius Property Finance looked at historic dwelling completion figures across England stretching back to the late 1970s, before analysing dwellings built versus the 300,000 target set out by the government and chancellor Phillip Hammond in November 2017.

The government recently made the decision to scrap their housebuilding target of 300,000 homes, a target that was originally set out in the 2019 Conservative manifesto and to be reached by the mid-2020s.

When it was first unveiled by the then chancellor Phillip Hammond in November 2017, there were some 162,470 homes built across England that year – 46% off the pace of their intended target for the future.

This total grew steadily to 177,880 homes built in 2019, the highest total seen since 2017 but still -41% below the 300,000 target.

The impact of the pandemic then saw this total fall to 146,630 homes in 2020, less than half of the government’s annual target, before climbing to 174,930 new homes delivered in 2021.

However, it is estimated that just 170,200 new homes have been built across England in 2022, a 3% year-on-year decline in output and 43% below the annual target of 300,00 homes.

Since 2020 when the government intended to hit its target of 300,000 new homes a year, just 491,760 of the proposed 900,000 have been built.

In fact, the government hasn’t come close to hitting this annual target in the last 45 years, with the highest level of housing delivered in a single year coming in 1978 when 241,310 homes were built.

The MD of Sirius Property Finance, Nicholas Christofi, commented: “The government’s failure when it comes to housing delivery is clear for all to see and and it’s even more disappointing still that they have chosen to throw in the towel and water down these targets, rather than commit to solving the housing crisis.

“We expect it will be this lacklustre approach to housebuilding that is unveiled in this week’s spring statement, rather than a new commitment to a more meaningful target.

“Of course, given their historic failures, it’s fair to say that any ambitions they may have are likely to amount to little more than recycled rhetoric, rather than actual homes built.”

 

Housing delivery across England sourced from Gov – Live tables on housing supply
Table shows completed dwellings across England by year and how this compares to the 300,000 government target
Year Completed – all dwellings
% below 300,000 target
1978 241,310 -19.6%
1979 209,460 -30.2%
1980 202,610 -32.5%
1981 168,420 -43.9%
1982 146,670 -51.1%
1983 167,810 -44.1%
1984 175,390 -41.5%
1985 164,100 -45.3%
1986 170,360 -43.2%
1987 178,290 -40.6%
1988 193,810 -35.4%
1989 174,950 -41.7%
1990 163,910 -45.4%
1991 154,600 -48.5%
1992 143,830 -52.1%
1993 147,840 -50.7%
1994 154,640 -48.5%
1995 157,140 -47.6%
1996 149,090 -50.3%
1997 149,500 -50.2%
1998 142,650 -52.5%
1999 141,010 -53.0%
2000 135,090 -55.0%
2001 129,500 -56.8%
2002 136,800 -54.4%
2003 144,060 -52.0%
2004 154,070 -48.6%
2005 159,450 -46.9%
2006 160,860 -46.4%
2007 176,640 -41.1%
2008 148,010 -50.7%
2009 124,980 -58.3%
2010 106,730 -64.4%
2011 114,030 -62.0%
2012 115,590 -61.5%
2013 109,450 -63.5%
2014 117,820 -60.7%
2015 142,480 -52.5%
2016 141,880 -52.7%
2017 162,470 -45.8% 300,000 target for England unveiled by then Chancellor Philip Hammond in November 2017
2018 165,490 -44.8%
2019 177,880 -40.7%
300,000 target set out in the 2019 Conservative manifesto to be reached by the mid-2020s”
2020 146,630 -51.1%
2021 174,930 -41.7%
2022 est 170,200 -43.3%

 

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One Comment

  1. JMK

    Would the figures from the last few years also include the ‘creation of dwellings’ from the VOA’s aggregation of HMOs?  I suspect that it does.

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